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AEC Markets
AEC Experience
Experience: 36 years
Qualifications:
Year of Birth: 1938
Nationality: British
Languages: English (mother tongue), Spanish (excellent), French (good)
Robert has some 32 years experience in the analysis of investments in developing countries and has worked with both the public and private sector operations worldwide, inclusive work on water resources, electricity supply, industrial processes, tourism and transport. He has been involved with market studies and demand forecasting, operational models, investment appraisal and cost benefit analysis, financial analysis and modelling, organisation structure, regulatory and institutional matters and with issues concerning private sector participation in infrastructure projects. Robert Laver has dealt with water supply boards, electricity supply authorities, public works and transport departments, and with port authorities. In the private sector he has worked on behalf of the steel industry, of other mineral processes, of civil engineering contractors and of developers. A significant proportion of the investment projects considered have been financed by international lending agencies including the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, the Interamerican Development Bank and the Commission for the European Community. Robert Laver has carried out long term overseas assignments in Peru and Mexico and he has participated on study missions organised by the World Bank, the Interamerican Development Bank and the Overseas Development Administration. Recently he has been concerned with the development of hydropower schemes under mixed private and public sector participation, and the review of power purchase agreements. He has recently provided advice as an expert witness on the valuation of assets in an international arbitration.
Economic appraisal, Spreadsheet models, Demand forecasting, Institutional issues, System analysis, Financial analysis.
Development of Private Hydropower and Transmission Lines, Zambia Ministry of Energy and Water Development, (2000/2001). Financial analyst and modeller for the preparation of a solicitation document for participation of the private sector in the development of the electricity supply sector. Presentation of alternative financial and concession structures.
Marun I 2nd Set, Khuzestan Water & Power Authority, Iran (2000).
Economist responsible for alternative development plans, including a second turbine generator set at Marun I hydropower station and a new reservoir and power station at Marun II, a new development site.
Flood Protection Infrastructure, TEFER, Turkey (2000).
Economic reviewer of project to repair and improve flood protection infrastructure in the West Black Sea flood region.
Mepanda Uncua and Cahora Bassa, Mozambique (1999-2000).
Chief economist on this multi-stage development of the power potential of the Zambezi River. Project benefits were assessed in terms of the integrated electricity system in the SADC countries including the Republic of South Africa
Padma Bridge Prefeasibility Study, Government of Bangladesh, (1999).
Development economist preparing background social and economic forecasts and assessing benefits of including gas pipelines and electricity transmission lines on bridge.
Ewaso Ngiro Hydro Electric Power Project, Project Implementation, KenGen, Government of Kenya, (1999).
Economist and systems analyst assessing optimum installed capacity of peak electricity supply project. Financial analyst evaluating alternative financing schemes.
Review Commission, Water Supply to Thessalonika from the Aliakmon River, Greece, European Commission DG XVI (1998).
As part of an existing framework contract Knight Piésold undertook the review of the technical and financial status of this water supply project.
Tariff Study, Mhlatuze Water Board, Republic of South Africa. (1997/98).
A study of the structure and level of tariffs was undertaken to assess the impact of the Board's expanding responsibilities and areas of supply.
Water Supply and Sewerage Master Plan, EYDAP, Athens and European Commission. (1996/1998).
The study consisted of a review of EYDAP's organisation and development plan over a 15 year period. A financial model was developed to test the investment programme and O&M costs with various tariff structures and levels.
Beles, Chemoga Yeda and Halele Werabesa Hydropower Development Projects, EEPCO, Ethiopia and AfDB. (1998-2000).
Economist and Financial Analyst. Three potential hydropower development areas are being approved for the next stage of expansion of the interconnected system of Ethiopia.
Environmental Rehabilitation of Lake Koronia, Greece (1998).
Contributed to the institutional and legal recommendations concerning the recovery of quantity and quality of water in the basins of Lakes Koronia and Volvi.
Doña Julia Hydropower, Costa Rica (1997).
As financial analyst provided advice on the viability and risk issues of the project to a private sector developer.
Franja Costera, Paraguay (1997).
Participated as financial analyst on the review of the Franja Costera Development project. Financial cash flows were prepared for the sale of private land and the development of infrastructure and land preparation costs.
Allai Khwar Hydropower Project, Pakistan (1997-1998).
Participated as economist, financial analyst and institutional expert. Undertook feasibility analysis of 163 MW installed capacity hydropower plant in North West Frontier province.
Corpus Christi Hydropower Project, Argentina and Paraguay (1997-2000).
Review of economic evaluation of alternative project options and financial analysis of selected scheme comprising a 2880 MW development on the Paraná River.
Tourism Master Plan, Ministry of Tourism, Libya, and World Tourism Organisation (1997).
Reviewed all modes of transportation, of electricity and water supply, health services, and waste disposal, to assess impact and requirements for tourism development..
Asset Valuation, Confidential Client (1996-99).
Provided expert witness advice on valuation of assets applying probability analysis in an international arbitration of a terminated contract.
East Coast Expressway, Peninsular Malaysia, Private Client (1997).
Prepared traffic growth rates and forecasts by department and State for this new toll road concession to be implemented between Bentung in the State of Kuantan, and Kuala Terengganu.
Infrastructure Planning and Implementation, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Know How Fund (1996).
Organised and participated in a seminar to discuss planning and implementation issues related to infrastructure projects.
Larnaca Port Development Plan, Ministry of Communications and Works, Cyprus (1995/1996).
As project director reviewed development recommendations, including the change of use of the port, and the economic and financial impacts of these developments.
Container Terminal Expansion, Surabaya, Indonesia, Private Client (1995/1996).
Directed financial analysis of expansion of port operations by private client in conjunction with Port Authority. Advised client on conditions to make participation feasible.
Moscow to St Petersburg to Finnish Border Corridor, EBRD and Federal Highways Authority Russian Federation (1995/1996).
Project Coordinator and financial analyst for development of a road corridor by public and private funding.
Assistance to Private Transportation in Russia, European Commission (1994/1995).
As study director concerned with establishing pilot study programmes for training of road transport operators and presented financial management course.
Kiev to Western Border Highway, European Commission, Ukraine (1994).
As project director concerned with the institutional aspects related to funding and charging for the use of roads and for implementation of the road construction programme.
Yacyreta Binational Hydroelectric Project, Private Client, Argentina/Paraguay (1994).
Advice to senior management on the risk and the approach to tendering for, and participating in, the operation and maintenance of the project.
M1/E30 Corridor Development, European Commission, Belarus (1993).
Project preparation for management and development of this major road corridor. Project director with responsibilities for institutional development, economic and financial appraisal and project coordination.
Cikampek Padalarang Toll Road, Private Client, Indonesia (1993).
As project director and economist undertook risk analysis of the probability attached to revenues from tolls. Considered various risk factors and their probability of occurrence to incorporate in a revenue risk model.
Inland Containerisation Study, Kenya Ports Authority, World Bank (1992/93).
Project Director concerned with the study of the expansion of inland container depots at various sites in Kenya to handle the growth of national and transit traffic.
Mombasa Port Development Study, Kenya Ports Authority, World Bank (1992/93).
Project Director on the study to adapt the port to the requirements of the 1990s and beyond. An economic and financial model appraised the improvements and the modified port land use that was recommended to meet the traffic forecasts.
Privatisation of Rosario Commercial Port, Overseas Development Administration, Argentina (1992).
Participated on aid mission to assist the commercial port of Rosario in the transition from a centrally controlled port to an independent authority.
Transport Sector Mission, Interamerican Development Bank, Panama (1992).
Participated as consultant on this sector mission to assist in the institutional structure and the access to supply of passengers and freight transport services.
Tourism Strategy, St Helena, Overseas Development Administration (1992).
Project Director for a study which examined the potential for tourism in St Helena and prepared a strategy for future development.
Clifton Point, Bahamas, Interamerican Development Bank (1992).
As Project Director concerned with the socio economic appraisal of developing a green field site to remove shipping and cargo handling activities from Nassau.
Transportation Policy and Planning, Ministry of Works, Transport and Communications, Uganda and World Bank (1991/1993).
Project director responsible for three man technical site team in charge of training and supervising 20 local staff in transport policy issues and planning methods.
Tourism Master Plan, Cook Islands and Asian Development Bank (1991).
Project Director for a study which examined the strategic direction of tourism in the Cook Islands.
Sarawak River Regulation Project, Government of Sarawak (1991).
Advised on the structure and composition of the institutional arrangements required to ensure the adequate operation and maintenance of the project components.
Eastern European Shipping Study, European Commission (1991).
Director of study into the shipping industries of Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Romania and Yugoslavia to establish trade flows, cargo shares, condition of merchant fleets and the extent of cross trading.
Minerals Transport Study, Corposuroeste, Venezuela (1991).
Project Director on this prefeasibility study of a railway and deep sea port to handle some 10.0 million tonnes annually of coal, phosphate rock and fertiliser products.
Palm Oil Transportation Study, Private Client, Indonesia (1991).
Study Director involved in the analysis of alternative transportation routes between oil mills, bulking stations, refineries and final destinations for some 20 estates in four states of Indonesia.
Shipping Sector Study, Latin America, European Commission (1990/1991).
Study Director concerned with the analysis of the shipping sectors of 11 Latin American countries, including quality of services, rules and regulations concerning access to cargo, efficiency of operations, and government policy.
Hotel and Golf Complex, Private Client, Indonesia (1990).
Study director on the analysis of two sites for development of hotel, golf and leisure complex in Jakarta and surrounding areas.
Marunda Container Terminal, Private Client, Indonesia (1990).
Study Director involved in the review of traffic forecasts and in the financial analysis of a new port to serve the area of Jakarta in Indonesia.
Coal Terminal in Indonesia, Private Client (1990).
This study comprised an analysis of barging and shipping costs for a range of vessel sizes to assess the viability of handling coal through a deep water terminal capable of receiving 80,000dwt ships.
Tariff Proposals, Kenya Ports Authority, Overseas Development Administration (1988).
Study Director and financial analyst on a study to propose a new structure and level of port tariffs with a view to eliminating claims from port users and improving port finances.
Institutional Review, Ministry of Transport and World Bank, Argentina (1987/88).
Participated in mission to review rail, air, road and port sub-sectors. As financial analyst on port sub sector reviewed historical development and present participation of public and private enterprise.
Assab Port, Maritime Transport Authority and World Bank, Ethiopia (1988).
Financial analyst on an economic and financial analysis of a port expansion project.
Axle Load Study Government of Malaysia (1986/87).
Senior economist concerned with forecasting commodity movements, validation of distribution and assignment models; evaluation procedure and estimate of economic inputs in assessing axle load policy and of programme for upgrading and maintenance of highway network.
Jamuna Multipurpose River Crossing, Government of Bangladesh and World Bank (1986 to 1989).
Phase I: Energy economist on the evaluation of the energy benefits to be derived from natural gas and electricity transmission lines interconnecting east and west Bangladesh. Additional Rail Studies: Economic Study Director for the consideration of the economic impact of including a rail link on the Jamuna Bridge. Phase II: Responsible for completing studies integrating the economic analysis of road, rail and inland water transport across the Jamuna River.
Port Rehabilitation and Equipment Project, World Bank, Mexico (1986).
Financial analyst on project appraisal mission. Recommendations concerning the structure of port authorities, cost recovery policies and tariffs were submitted.
Cancun Marina, Fonatur, Mexico (1984/85).
Feasibility study of marina and sea side village at Cancun, Mexico. As Project Coordinator responsible for bringing together land use architects, maritime engineers, marina operation and commercialisation specialists, and for carrying out economic and financial analysis.
Industrial Port Programme, Industrial Ports Authority and World Bank, Mexico (1982/85).
Financial analyst on technical assistance programme for economic and financial studies of four industrial ports including macroeconomic analysis, traffic forecasts, and financial projections for two port authorities.
Trans-Island Road Study, Asian Development Bank, Papua New Guinea (1980 and 1985).
Carried out economic evaluation of selected route, taking account of social and political consequences of building a road to connect Port Moresby with Lae.
Mulghat Hydropower Project, Electricity Department, HMG Nepal (1981/82).
Power sector demand, power system analysis and plant optimisation, and cost benefit analysis.
Irrigation and Hydropower Master Plan for the Chiriqui-Chico River Basins Prefeasibility Studies, IRHE, Panama (1979).
Senior economist concerned with agriculture and electricity demand forecasts, preliminary selection of scheme arrangements, and project development plan.
Marikina River Project, New Studies Water Supply and Water Supply III Projects for water supply, electricity and flood control, MWSS and IBRD, Manila, Philippines (1978 to 1981).
Chief economist responsible for demand forecasts for water supply, assessment of consumer willingness to pay, reservoir operation model; measurement of water supply, electricity supply and flood control benefits; economic analysis of schemes and selection of optimum arrangement, and financial projections for MWSS including review of tariffs.
Kama Power and Irrigation Project and Konar River Basin Development Prefeasibility Studies, ADB, Afghanistan (1976 and 1977).
Senior economist on agriculture and power demand forecasts, assessment of project benefits, and cost benefit analysis.
Chisapani Project on the Karnali River Basin, UNDP, HMG Nepal (1977).
Project economist responsible for assessing demand for power and energy in Nepal and India. Considered integration of hydropower scheme into load demand curves of both supply systems.
Rapid Transit Study, Baghdad, Iraq (1976/77).
As Head of Transport Economics was responsible for setting up alternative development strategies and for the economic and financial analysis of the project.
Atitlan (1971/1972) and Aguacapa (1975/1976) Hydro Projects, INDE and IBRD, Guatemala.
Project economist responsible for demand forecasts and system analysis to integrate these two hydropower schemes to the supply system.
Master plan for the development of the Euphrates river basin at Karakaya, Karababa and Golkoy, DSI and IBRD, Turkey (1971, 1973 and 1976).
Development methodology to optimise dam elevation and installed capacity of hydropower plants.
Modernisation Study National Railways, World Bank, Costa Rica (1975).
As transport economist he was responsible for evaluating various schemes for railway modernisation versus existing road improvement projects.
Mass Transit System for Lima, Peru (1972/73).
The selected scheme included three lines and a total network of 60km. Social benefits and costs were applied to evaluate the alternative networks in terms of arrangement and line length.
Nuclear Power Project, Luzon Island, NPC, Philippines (1972).
Power market, electricity supply system costs and project evaluation for 600 MW units.
Development of Rana Steelworks, Norway (1970).
Developed a simulation model to analyse production and marketing options for an electric arc steelworks.
Steel Industry Master Plan, Algeria (1969).
Responsible for the economic and financial modelling of various sites for steel making and downstream processing.
Steel Industry Master Plan, Argentina (1968/1969).
Participated in the technical and economic evaluation of existing plant and of development plans.
Nyumba Ya Mungu Power Station, Tanzania (1966).
Assistant engineer on the detail design of the Power House.
Lower Volta Irrigation, Ghana (1965).
As Assistant Engineer, participated in the detail design, preparation of contract documents and construction drawings.
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